Saturday, January 2, 2016

RIP TSN's Remaining World Junior Television Ratings With Canada Out

With Rogers having most of the NHL hockey television broadcasts, TSN depends heavily on the World Junior tournament after Xmas to generate big ratings. Canada on average has a good performance, but in some years like 2015-2016 Canada goes out early. With Canada not in either of the semis or the finals, TSN's ratings will end up tanking from what they could have been.

Monday, November 30, 2015

Should the Ticats Try and Keep Matthews and Masoli for 2016?

With the Grey Cup done, it is time to start thinking about the Ticats 2016 season. With quarterback Zach Collaros recovering from ACL surgery, and recent comments from him indicating he may not be ready for the start of the 2016, the Ticats backup quarterback situation becomes more important.

With backup Jeff Matthews injured with a concussion in the penultimate game of the regular season for the Ticats at home against Ottawa, Jeremiah Masoli ended up playing the end of the regular season game against Ottawa, the playoff win versus Toronto and the playoff loss versus Ottawa. Masoli is a free agent in 2016. In all three games, Masoli passed for 638 yards, with 53 completions on 81 attempts for a 65.4% completion percentage, with four TD passes versus two interceptions. Masoli rushed for 129 yards on 28 attempts, for a 4.6 yards per carry average.

Matthews in 2015 passed for 1296 yards, with 98 completions from 142 attempts, with 6 TDs and 6 interceptions and a 69% completion percentage. He rushed 33 times for 94 yards for a 2.8 yard average, although a lot of those were short conversions.

Certainly Masoli wouldn't have got much consideration to keep around before the Ottawa playoff game, as his previous two games were mediocre at best. With a bit more luck Masoli could have won the Ottawa playoff game if Nadon had managed to hold on to the ball for an interception late or Greg Ellingson not made his spectacular catch.

Masoli being a free agent though means other teams could want him and Masoli himself might prefer to go to a team where he might have a shot at being the starter, as once Collaros is back, barring injury, the starting job is his. The Cats may well just decide to go with Matthews as the backup and likely season starter until Collaros comes back. If say Collaros is out for the first six games, who gives a better chance of winning, Masoli or Matthews? At this stage I'm more inclined to say Masoli, as Matthews likes to stay too much in the pocket for the wide CFL field and his running ability is weak.



Friday, November 6, 2015

2015 CFL Predictions Week 20

Last week of the regular season. Three meaningless games.

Winnipeg at Toronto
Last regular season Argos game at the dome. I suppose somewhere along the line it could be used for a Grey Cup again, but don't bet on it. Won't really be sad to see it go. I predict that Toronto manages to pull it out.
Argonauts 31 Blue Bombers 27

Hamilton at Ottawa
The one meaningful game. Hamilton is down to their third string quarterback. Hamilton could win, but that's not the way to bet.
REDBLACKS 23 Tiger-Cats 12

Calgary at BC
Meaningless game although it is a preview of the West semi-final. Messam and Harris will compete for the rushing title. Take BC because it is at home.
Lions 29 Stampeders 28

Saskatchewan at Montreal
A sad game, two teams not in the playoffs. Maybe the Riders have enough pride to get to three wins.
Roughriders 35 Alouettes 26

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

2015 CFL Power Rankings Week 20

1. Edmonton Eskimos
You can't really argue with tops in the division. Plus a strong victory over Montreal.

2. Calgary Stampeders
Wiped a weak Saskatchewan team and they now have Jerome Messam as well. Top two teams are quite close.

3. Ottawa REDBLACKS
Are the REDLBLACKS better than the Ticats led by Jeff Matthews? After last week's away game it would seem so, even though they didn't score any TDs.

4. Toronto Argonauts
Toronto hasn't looked great of late although they were close to beating a motivated BC team. The Argos are deep at quarterback now.

5. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Now Jeff Mathews is injured. And he didn't look that great against Ottawa. Still a really good defence though. Offensive line injuries are also a problem.

6. BC Lions
Getting somewhat hot late in the season with a rookie QB.

7. Montreal Alouettes
So the Als end up missing the playoffs. It was a good run.

8. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
After a bye week I suppose they are healthier. Still no Drew Willy.

9. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Lost big rather than by a small margin. There's always next year, but I'm not sure I trust Durant to not get injured.

Friday, October 30, 2015

2015 CFL Predictions 19

Crunch time.

BC at Toronto
Ricky Ray starts at home instead of Trevor Harris, which may or may not be a good idea. The Argos looked poor last week against Montreal but at least they are in their real home this week, Dead Ted's Dome. BC looked good against Hamilton last week. They are fighting for a playoff spot so I think they are more motivated.
Lions 30 Argonauts 23

Saskatchewan at Calgary
I can't really see the Riders winning this one. Best team versus worst team.
Stampeders 37 Roughriders 20

Ottawa at Hamilton
This one is interesting. If the Cats can win, they pretty much lock down a home playoff spot. I think the home crowd at the Timbit should be enough.
Tiger-Cats 28 REDBLACKS 22

Montreal at Edmonton
This game is interesting. The Alouettes really need to win if they have any hope of making the playoffs. Against my better judgement, I'll pick desperation.
Alouettes 26 Eskimos 24

Thursday, October 29, 2015

2015 CFL Power Rankings Week 19

1. Calgary Stampeders
Didn't play, but that doesn't change them being the best team in the CFL. They have Messam now too, and if anything, not playing probably made them healthier.

2. Edmonton Eskimos
Beat Saskatchewan on the road. Admittedly that's not super impressive, but it still is a victory and quarterback Mike Reilly is rounding into form after his injury.

3. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The Ticats didn't look very good in BC, but it was on short rest and the game started at 10 pm EST. The defence actually held its own, however the offense couldn't seem to get it going after an initial drive for a TD, which is somewhat worrying.

4. Ottawa REDBLACKS
Beat Winnipeg and Matt Nichols on the road. Henry Burris is having one of the better years at quarterback than anyone other than Bo Levi Mitchell.

5. Toronto Argonauts
Got waxed at their pseudo-Hamilton home by Montreal, but they are going to start Ricky Ray next game so at least they are strong at quarterback.

6. Montreal Alouettes
Looked good beating the Argos and still have a shot at a cross-over playoff spot. GM and head coach Jim Popp must be happy.

7. BC Lions
The Lions won at home against an Eastern team and strengthened their chance of grabbing the last playoff spot in the West. New quarterback Jonathon Jennings is looking good.

8. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pretty much out of the race for the last remaining CFL playoff spot. There's a chance, but it is small.

9. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Still losing games. At least they have two wins now.

Friday, October 23, 2015

2015 CFL Prediction Week 18

Montreal at Toronto
The Alouettes really need to win this game if they're going to make the playoffs. Kevin Glenn at least has had more practice. Toronto really needs to win this game if they want to win first in the CFL East. This is another pseudo-home game for Toronto in Hamilton. Harris is just better than Glenn at this point, even with a lot of practice.
Argonauts 30 Alouettes 22

Hamilton at BC
Rookie quarterbacks going against each other in BC. Hamilton has the better overall team, although winning a night game in Vancouver is always tough for Eastern teams. Still I think the Ticats take it.
Ticats 35 Lions 33

Ottawa at Winnipeg
Winnipeg really needs to win this game. Ottawa needs it if they want a home playoff game. Winnipeg is at home, although that hasn't seemed to help much this year. Ottawa's superior receivers win.
REDBLACKS 23 Blue Bombers 20

Edmonton at Saskatchewan
Only the Eskimos have something to play for. So there will be some unhappy Green Rider fans.
Eskimos 35 Roughriders 20