Monday, July 25, 2016

2016 Week 6 CFL Predictions

The CFL claims that today's game belongs to week 5, but Tigercatatonia goes by a strict Monday to Sunday definition of a week apart from statutory holidays.

Montreal at Toronto
Not a great matchup, but Toronto is at home and the Alouettes are terrible, especially on offense.
Argonauts 30 Alouettes 17

Winnipeg at Edmonton
Will Edmonton lose two at home in a row at home? Probably not. The Bombers aren't starting Drew Willy this week, but that won't help.
Eskimos 35 Blue Bombers 20

Saskatchewan at Montreal
Real short week for the Alouettes. They are at home. The Riders have been mostly bad this year. Montreal is a bit of mess though. I'll pick the Riders on the road.
Roughriders 22 Alouettes 18

BC at Calgary
The marquee matchup for this week. Calgary being good in 2016 isn't a surprise, the Lions being good most definitely is a surprise. Still though I have to go with home field advantage.
Stampeders 28 Lions 23

2016 CFL Power Rankings Week 5

Some changes as even the Riders won and the Ticats made a miracle comeback.

1. Ottawa REDBLACKS
This is a bit tough as Ottawa did lose barely to the Riders on the road and Trevor Harris was injured. Still have a lot of receiver talent.

2. BC Lions
Not a lot of fans, but they have a great record. Good defence and the offense has surprised.

3. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Monster comeback win on the road against Edmonton with Jeremiah Masoli breaking the CFL record for consecutive passes, as unlikely as that seems. The defence look hapless in the first half, then suddenly came alive. The fact that Masoli is 3 and 2 and he and the team having a 3 and 0 record on the road is frankly bizarre. Collaros is probably back after the bye week.

4. Calgary Stampeders
The Stamps won versus the woeful Blue Bombers on the road (which actually isn't that impressive this year in the CFL). The Stamps have Messam and Mitchell working, which is more than most CFL teams.

5. Edmonton Eskimos
Epic collapse at home. 2 and 2. Edmonton is better than this, but it is still somewhat strange.

6. Toronto Argonauts
They have a quarterback. After the first five teams, that's a lot. Defence isn't bad either and will probably improve as the season goes on.

7. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Win a game against the best team in the league and out of the basement! Did it with Mitchell Gale as quarterback too. Back in the playoff hunt. Sort of.

8. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Well Drew Willy is out as the starter. The Bombers seem pretty hopeless, even with a lot of dollars spent in the off-season.

9. Montreal Alouettes
Rakeem Cato doesn't seem to be the answer. Hopefully Kevin Glenn eye infection ends. Maybe GM Jim Popp should fire himself as head coach.

Thursday, July 21, 2016

2016 CFL Predictions Week 5

Calgary at Winnipeg
I doubt that the Bombers will be able to slow down Jerome Messam much. Then Bo Levi Mitchell will burn them.
Stampeders 28 Blue Bombers 17

Ottawa at Saskatchewan
Durant is out and the Riders are giving Mitchell Gale his first start. Can't really see Trevor Harris getting out dueled by Gale.
REDBLACKS 30 Roughriders 24

Hamilton at Edmonton
No word that Collaros will start for Tiger-Cats so I can't unfortunately see the Cats winning in Edmonton.
Eskimos 35 Tiger-Cats 23

Montreal at Toronto
The Argos are at home and Montreal has a ton of injuries. Argonauts have a reasonable defence so that's not good for the Alouettes
Argonauts 27 Alouettes 22

2016 CFL Power Rankings Week 4

1. Ottawa REDBLACKS
Beat the Argos in Torontoville. Trevor Harris is probably better than Henry Burris at quarterback.

2. Edmonton Eskimos
Like last year the Eskimos keep winning. Mike Reilly passed for a ton of yards against Winnipeg this last week so that and him not being injured is a positive.

3. Calgary Stampeders
Didn't play, but that also means no injuries. Jerome Messam looks to be having a monster year.

4. BC Lions
The Lions were behind the Riders when I stopped watching the game and then roared back to win against the hapless Riders. I didn't think the Lions would be good at all this week, but turns out they are.

5. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The first half was poor, but they pulled ahead in the second half despite the mediocrity of backup Jeremiah Masoli. Banks is back this season doing his special teams thing, Maher kicked extraordinarily well and the defence looks good, especially Tracy. Collaros could be back soon too.

6. Toronto Argonauts
Mediocre. Not terrible, but not good either. I thought their defence would be better, but it will probably improve as the season goes on.

7. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Are they better than last year? I guess.

8. Montreal Alouettes
Kevin Glenn better come back, otherwise it is going to be another bad season for Montreal.

9. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Have to win a game to get out the power rankings basement. With Durant injured I suppose they are potentially worse.

Thursday, July 14, 2016

2016 CFL Predictions Week 4

Damn Wednesday games. Missed out on the Ottawa Toronto game. Balls.

Edmonton at Winnipeg
Sure the Bombers won on the road last week in Hamilton, but I don't think they can count on the Eskimos making as many turnovers as the Ticats. Still they are at home and Drew Willy is still healthy. I'll still pick Edmonton
Eskimos 29 Blue Bombers 22

Hamilton at Montreal
This one is interesting. Collaros won't be back so it is Masoli at quarterback for Hamilton. Montreal hasn't looked great this year, but they are at home. That for me is the difference.
Alouettes 23 Tiger-Cats 21

BC at Saskatchewan
The Riders have not won yet this year, but they looked OK last week, while the Lions ended up pulling Jennings for poor quarterback play. Call me crazy by I think the Riders will make it happen at home.
Roughriders 27 Lions 25

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

2016 Week 3 CFL Power Rankings

Things are getting more confusing.

1. Ottawa REDBLACKS
Tied a good team in Calgary. No losses yet and Trevor Harris is kicking ass.

2. Edmonton Eskimos
Admittedly it was tight against the Riders, but they still won in the end. A healthy Mike Reilly is a good thing.

3. Calgary Stampeders
A tie on the road isn't something to complain about, even if it is a weird event. The Stamps again look like a solid team.

4. BC Lions
Lost to Toronto, but the Lions are still a better team than I was expecting.

5. Toronto Argonauts
The Argos over the past few seasons have been a better road team than home team. Still seems to be the case in 2016.

6. Montreal Alouettes
Certainly not a good team. That's pretty much it.

7. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Unlikely to stay here with Collaros returning to practice, but he isn't back yet. A lot of talent, but also a lot of turnovers from Masoli.

8. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
They did beat the Ticats led by Masoli on the road, but the Bombers in no way looked competent in that game. Unlikely for their future opponents to have that many turnovers.

9. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Still not good. Probably better in the second half. No playoffs for you!

Thursday, July 7, 2016

2016 Week 3 CFL Predictions

Winnipeg at Hamilton
Hamilton didn't look very good on offense against BC at home last week with Masoli in at quarterback. Maher missing field goals didn't help. Fortunately for the Ticats, their next opponent is Winnipeg who have started off winless in 2016. Look for Hamilton to get on track against the Bombers at home.
Tiger-Cats 26 Blue Bombers 21

Toronto at BC
I wasn't expecting much of BC this year after losing Andrew Harris to Winnipeg and I wasn't expecting much of Wally Buono's return to coaching. Turns out I was wrong. The Argos beat the Riders last week in Regina, which isn't saying a lot. BC is at home which is always difficult for Eastern teams. Lions win yet again.
Lions 25 Arognauts 19

Calgary at Ottawa
The Stamps are looking good, especially with Canadian running back Jerome Messam (who weighs 263 pounds) running wild last week for Calgary. However for Ottawa, backup quarterback Trevor Harris is positively on fire, with former Ticat receiver Chris Williams playing really well. Ottawa is basically the best team in the CFL now and at home.
REDBLACKS 39 Stampeders  34

Saskatchewan at Edmonton
The Riders managed to lose their only game at home to Toronto. I think the Riders will be better than last year's team, but not a lot better. Saskatchewan losing Weston Dressler to Winnipeg via free agency is problematic because of the chemistry he had with the now healthy Darian Durant. If Durant and Saskatchewan are going to be successful, a new Dressler will have to emerge for the Rider offense. I don't see that happening in the first few games of the season. Edmonton is a better team right now than the Riders and they are at home. This would seem to be an easy pick.
Eskimos 33 Roughriders 20